Cause or Coincidence? ⚡

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Select the right option for each scenario

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Gabriela Maldonado

Estados Unidos

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Cause or Coincidence? ⚡Versión en línea Select the right option for each scenario por Gabriela Maldonado 1 Cities with more hospitals tend to have higher death rates. a Correlation Only b Causation c Spurious/Need More Evidence 2 When researchers removed a specific gene from lab mice, the mice developed tumors at significantly higher rates across multiple controlled trials. a Correlation Only b Causation c Spurious/Need More Evidence 3 Students who read for pleasure outside of school tend to score higher on reading comprehension tests. a Correlation Only b Causation c Spurious/Need More Evidence 4 A researcher notices that shark attacks increase during months when ice cream sales are also high. Choose one or more answers a Correlation Only b Causation c Spurious/Need More Evidence 5 A pharmaceutical company conducted three large-scale randomized controlled trials showing that a specific drug reduces blood pressure by blocking a particular enzyme. a Correlation Only b Causation c Spurious/Need More Evidence Feedback 1 Larger, denser cities have more hospitals because they have more people, including more sick and elderly people. Population size is the confounding variable. More hospitals do not cause more deaths. 2 This meets the standard for causation. There is an identified mechanism (a gene), a controlled experiment (gene removed deliberately), and a consistent, reproducible outcome. The "how" is traceable. 3 This is a real and consistently observed pattern, but the causal direction isn't clear yet. Do students score higher because they read more? Or do students who already read well enjoy reading more and therefore do it more? Possibly both. Without a controlled study, you cannot assign cause. 4 Classic confounding variable: summer. Hot weather sends more people to the beach (more shark encounters) and also drives ice cream sales up. The ice cream is not summoning sharks. 5 Randomized controlled trials are specifically designed to test causation. The mechanism (enzyme blocking) is identified, the effect is consistent across multiple trials, and the study design rules out confounding variables.

Cause or Coincidence? ⚡Versión en línea

Select the right option for each scenario

Cities with more hospitals tend to have higher death rates.

Correlation Only

Causation

Spurious/Need More Evidence

When researchers removed a specific gene from lab mice, the mice developed tumors at significantly higher rates across multiple controlled trials.

Correlation Only

Causation

Spurious/Need More Evidence

Students who read for pleasure outside of school tend to score higher on reading comprehension tests.

Correlation Only

Causation

Spurious/Need More Evidence

A researcher notices that shark attacks increase during months when ice cream sales are also high.

Choose one or more answers

Correlation Only

Causation

Spurious/Need More Evidence

A pharmaceutical company conducted three large-scale randomized controlled trials showing that a specific drug reduces blood pressure by blocking a particular enzyme.

Correlation Only

Causation

Spurious/Need More Evidence

Feedback

Larger, denser cities have more hospitals because they have more people, including more sick and elderly people. Population size is the confounding variable. More hospitals do not cause more deaths.

This meets the standard for causation. There is an identified mechanism (a gene), a controlled experiment (gene removed deliberately), and a consistent, reproducible outcome. The "how" is traceable.

This is a real and consistently observed pattern, but the causal direction isn't clear yet. Do students score higher because they read more? Or do students who already read well enjoy reading more and therefore do it more? Possibly both. Without a controlled study, you cannot assign cause.

Classic confounding variable: summer. Hot weather sends more people to the beach (more shark encounters) and also drives ice cream sales up. The ice cream is not summoning sharks.

Randomized controlled trials are specifically designed to test causation. The mechanism (enzyme blocking) is identified, the effect is consistent across multiple trials, and the study design rules out confounding variables.

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Cause or Coincidence? ⚡

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Creada por

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Cause or Coincidence? ⚡Versión en línea

por Gabriela Maldonado

Cities with more hospitals tend to have higher death rates.

When researchers removed a specific gene from lab mice, the mice developed tumors at significantly higher rates across multiple controlled trials.

Students who read for pleasure outside of school tend to score higher on reading comprehension tests.

A researcher notices that shark attacks increase during months when ice cream sales are also high.

Choose one or more answers

A pharmaceutical company conducted three large-scale randomized controlled trials showing that a specific drug reduces blood pressure by blocking a particular enzyme.

Feedback

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